Wednesday, August 29, 2012


GAIA

 

A better mousetrap arrives

BP’s Deepwater Horizon Gulf of Mexico oil drilling rig disaster of April, 2010 was a tragedy for the 11 men killed and those affected by the oil spill that resulted.  What has gotten little attention after the first 3-4 days was the key failure of the rig’s industry standard, truck sized BOP – blowout prevention device -- which was installed at the base of the drilling pipe on the sea floor when the platform and drill were first put in place.

The BOP had 3 systems to cut off oil flow from the seabed but each failed when the rig caught fire, started drifting and sank 2 days later. The net result, according to the final government report, was breakdowns in the electrical communications systems and hydraulics.  [ www.bp.com/.../Deepwater_Horizon_Accident_Investigation_static_ ]

 

*************

From the lessons of the Deepwater Horizon BOP failure, the oil industry has created a better mousetrap, so to speak.

Instead of just relying on BOP installations at the time a well begins, super, mobile BOP systems have been designed that can be flown in whenever and wherever needed.  

As of May, 2012, there are 12 mobile super BOP units available and another 8 will be built by the end of 2013.

 The units, the size of a townhouse, are assembled on site from ‘kits’ that need      7 jumbo cargo planes for delivery.  . (G&M, May 9/12, B14 Wall Street Journal article “Gulf disaster spawns new tools to handle spills.”)

As fully independent units, with their own electrical, communications and hydraulic systems, these super BOP units should be able to squelch any oil drill pipe leak without surprises and failure.

Lesson learned.

Did You Know

 

Return Olympics to Mount Olympus

It is time to return the Olympic games (and Paralympics) to Greece, their homeland, and end the deluded and money wasting game of moveable venues.

For 6 to 8 years in advance, major cities and countries currently vie for the host role, spending millions on organizing committees, architectural plans and cow towing to the OIC overlords who require first class air flights, first class hotel suites and first class restaurants when visiting  competing host hopefuls.  Generous gifts ( i.e., bribes) flow from each vying city to the travelling committee so that when one is finally chosen, all others are left with wasted millions and a deflated self-image that may take years to restore.

The winning cities/countries are also harmed, though self-delusion keeps the process in play.

 Host cities see the games as a great publicity boost and a way to get needed infrastructure built.  They delude themselves into believing the games will boost immediate tourism and generate millions in extra business for its retailers, hotels and restaurants --  and improve long term tourism as well.

They see the construction of new arenas and apartment buildings and subway/LRT  lines as a plus, as much of the costs are paid for at state and national levels = ‘free money’

                                                            *****

Unfortunately, for host cities and countries, these economic boosts – in terms of infrastructure and tourism -- have not materialized for decades.

 

Construction

Olympic Games Construction is and has always been a money sinkhole.  The 1976 games in Montreal  ran over budget by a then staggering $1 billion.– despite Mayor Jean Drapeau’s  assertion that it was more likely he would become pregnant first.  It required a provincial lottery, increased city taxes  and over 20 years to pay back the overruns.  London 2012, which now claims it was ‘on budget’, forgets  that the current budget was the 3 revised budget – and  triple the original bid numbers!!!  As well,  the current crisis with Greece facing bankruptcy and ejection from the European Union can all be traced back to the spendthrift Olympic Games of  Athens, 2004.

Special structures and arenas are also often 2 week wonders.  Montreal’s Olympic stadium has remained underused for decades as it is too large for local CFL football or soccer audiences, and Montreal long ago lost its Major League baseball team, the Expos. Montreal’s Velodrome for bicycle racing also long sat empty and is today – after major renovation and redesign --  an interactive biosphere ‘musuem’ in private hands.

Similar specialized structures from Beijing’s 2008 games are left empty and decomposing, due to neglect.

So on the construction front, host cities gain little and usually loose much. 

 

Tourism

A number of articles recently have burst this bubble and delusion.  London, as a result of the Olympics, has LOST 200,000 tourists compared to a normal summer!!!  Yes, 100,000 Olympic fans and contestants did show up, but London normally gets 300,000 regular tourists at this time of year. 

Fearing congestion and hotel shortages, 200,000 people stayed away!!!  Hotels were left with scores of  empty rooms during peak season and forced into discounts, restaurants and theatres are on the verge of bankruptcy due to reduced tourism and the fact British locals staying home to watch the games on TV.

According to the Globe and Mail, August 1, 2012, page A3, the 2000 Sydney games saw only 97,000 visitors while expecting 132,000; and Athens got a paltry 14,000 tourists per night when anticipating 105,000.

 

Conclusion

We need to rethink where the Olympic games are to be held.

The current approach is wasteful in terms of tax dollars and consistently undermines the ability of ordinary people to make a living.  Only the fat cat Olympic bosses benefit as they travel the great cities on some else’s money and bribes.

A recent study on New York, a city that lost to London for the 2012 games, is helpful in this regard.  The city and government have built the needed improvements to local infrastructure – not gaudy, one time monumental money sinkholes -- at a reasonable pace and on budget.  And New York tourism has not nosedived as in London. 

As the study concludes, New York was the real winner of the 2012 Olympic Games, not London.

 

SOLUTION

So what do we do?

Simple, hold the games in permanent facilities.  Summer games in their native Greece, either at Mount Olympus as in ancient times, or elsewhere.  And have the winter games permanently in a truly snowy part of the world, unlike Vancouver’s rain bowl.

Put the athletes and sportsmanship first and foremost.End the delusional money wasting rotation of competing hosts, and shut down the IOC barons’ high-on-the-hog lifestyle!

YOUR HEALTH

Listen to your old mother!

Whether you think of evolutionary biology (our teeth) and the history of primitive mankind or the Garden of Eden and Bible, we are biologically designed to eat from the full bounty of nature in order to stay healthy.

That means eating the full range from fruits, vegetables, nuts and grains to animal flesh/daily products.

The importance of a balance of all 5 sources – especially flesh/daily – is reaffirmed in new research on pancreatic cancer and diet. Pancreatic cancer is one of the most deadly, untreatable cancers, but its risk can be substantially reduced by eating foods high in vitamins C and E and selenium. (G&M, Aug 1/12, page L6 “Is there anything antioxidants can’t do?”)

Fruits and vegetables are key sources of vitamins C, and nuts and grain oils are best for vitamin E. For selenium, which alone was found to reduce pancreatic cancer risk by half,  animal flesh/dairy are the most common sources.

 

    Simultaneously, recent studies have found that pill or liquid     supplements of vitamin C and E and selenium do NOT help.  The nutrients must be in their original, food form, to be beneficial and effective.

 

Below is a (simplified) list from Leslie Beck’s article, citing the USDA. The foods are readily available, highly tasty and enjoyable, and should ensure a healthier, cancer free life.   

****  Items near the top of each section are better/more nutrient   laden.

 

Vitamin C
Vitamin E
selenium
Strawberries
Oranges
Kiwi
Mango
Cantaloupe
Grapefruit – red or pink
Raspberries
 
Sunflower seeds
Almonds
Hazelnuts
Spinach
Papyaya
 
 
Brazil nuts
Spaghetti
TUNA fish
Cod
Turkey
Chicken
Beef
Eggs
Cottage cheese
Cheddar cheese
Brown rice
Red peppers
Broccoli
Tomatoes
Green peppers
Sunflower oil
Safflower oil
Grapeseed oil
Canola oil
Olive oil
 
Sunflower seeds

 

GAIA

 

A better mousetrap arrives

BP’s Deepwater Horizon Gulf of Mexico oil drilling rig disaster of April, 2010 was a tragedy for the 11 men killed and those affected by the oil spill that resulted.  What has gotten little attention after the first 3-4 days was the key failure of the rig’s industry standard, truck sized BOP – blowout prevention device -- which was installed at the base of the drilling pipe on the sea floor when the platform and drill were first put in place.

The BOP had 3 systems to cut off oil flow from the seabed but each failed when the rig caught fire, started drifting and sank 2 days later. The net result, according to the final government report, was breakdowns in the electrical communications systems and hydraulics.  [ www.bp.com/.../Deepwater_Horizon_Accident_Investigation_static_ ]

 

*************

From the lessons of the Deepwater Horizon BOP failure, the oil industry has created a better mousetrap, so to speak.

Instead of just relying on BOP installations at the time a well begins, super, mobile BOP systems have been designed that can be flown in whenever and wherever needed.  

As of May, 2012, there are 12 mobile super BOP units available and another 8 will be built by the end of 2013.

 The units, the size of a townhouse, are assembled on site from ‘kits’ that need      7 jumbo cargo planes for delivery.  . (G&M, May 9/12, B14 Wall Street Journal article “Gulf disaster spawns new tools to handle spills.”)

As fully independent units, with their own electrical, communications and hydraulic systems, these super BOP units should be able to squelch any oil drill pipe leak without surprises and failure.

Lesson learned.

 

Charge of the Light Brigade - Canada Style

We of no Song

On August 13, while visiting Chicago, my wife and I stumbled upon a concert at the Millennium Park bandshell that was being performed by members of the U.S. navy as part of their War of 1812 commemorations.

As I sat through the various military marches, I was overwhelmed by the patriotism, respect and long tradition of military anthems I beheld that night, in a concert that lasted just under 2 hours.

It was clear to me that – through music -- Americans take pride in their military services and the men and women who ‘stand on guard’.  Though American military anthems go back well over 100 years and are most associated with that great musical ear, John Philip Sousa, who wrote 136 military marches, military anthems did not die out with his passing in 1932. New marching band songs were performed including one commissioned by or for President Ronald Regan. 

Each piece was introduced in detail – the composer, the President or occasion for which it was commissioned, and any special association with one of the five branches of the arms forces: Army, Navy, Marine, Air Force and Coast Guard.

At one point, a medley of the 5 military anthems was played and members of the audience were asked to stand in tribute when their specific armed force’s anthem was played.  Over the course of the medley, men and women, old and young stood to the audience’s applause..

As well, though the anthems were all orchestral pieces, the lyrics of at least 4 of the 5 anthems rang through my head.  I am not an American and raised in Canada – yet I know those songs and their words well. (See P.S. below.)

                                                ********

 

So, what of Canada? 

Do we have official anthems for our different military divisions or even one unifying song?

A quick YouTube hunt was disheartening, if predictable. Nothing but O’ Canada.

However, Wikipedia was more informative. Wikipedia’s “Authorized marches of the Canadian Forces” has a very long and detailed list of regimental, brigade and personnel branch songs, 4 Military College songs and, finally, 4 songs for the Canadian navy, army, air force and northern division.

Two of these are British carryovers: the Navy’s operatic Heart of Oak, still used by the British navy, and RCAF March Past which is still used by the British air force for whom it was commissioned. I could not find anything on the background of the Canadian Army’s Celer Paratus Callidus (Latin, for SWIFT, READY, CRAFTY), nor could I find the North units Canada North anthem at all.

 

So, what does this all mean?

Regiments and military subunits are heavily into marching music but at the national level, our ‘anthems’ are either hand-me-downs or hard to find.

For a country that has named a section of the 401 highway the Highway of Heroes, between Trenton, Ontario, and Toronto, that announces their return in the media so Canadians can line the road to pay tribute, it is  sad that respect and patriotism only reach the average Canadian mind and heart in death.

We need a John Philip Sousa.  We need to have original Canadian anthems for our national service(s), and teach and play these songs – with lyrics – across this land.

We need to be proudly Canadian.  We need to show respect and gratitude to our men and women of the armed forces --- while they live as well as in death.

P.S.

If you wish to hear the 5 official American military anthems with full lyric (and military images), go to YouTube, U.S. Armed Forces Songs.

For the tunes alone, just go to Youtube’s United States: "Military Might (Five Military Branch Anthems)" — Canadian Brass.  Yes, performed by a Canadian band no less!!!

For Heart of Oak with lyrics, see YouTube, “Royal Navy - Heart of Oak”


www.mp3videosearch.com/.../Celer-Paratus-Callidus.ht... - United States

 

YOUR HEALTH

“It’s alive!” – almost

The above quote -- from the story of Frankenstein, when the scientist sees life in the creature he created from body parts –has not yet become a reality but major breakthroughs in early 2012 show scientists and medical researchers are getting closer to understanding and overcoming the mysteries of life.

Disease diagnosis is progressing on various fronts. Alzheimer’s research in particular is making great strides as the ‘process’ is becoming better understood – allowing for better intervention treatments.  (See “New clues unearthed on how Alzheimer’s spreads through the brain” G&M Feb 3/12 L6)

And reviving an old medical trick – smelling a patient’s breath – has gained attention using new, breath machines.  Like a breathalyser for alcohol, the new devices scan breath for telltale traces of various illnesses. In particular, researchers in Israel, U.S.A. and Canada are testing such machines for tracing different cancers – lung, bowel, breast and prostrate. (See “One breath away from diagnosing disease” G&M Feb 4/12 A17)

Replacing/restoring flesh and bones is also now possible. Face transplants have been carried out successfully in Spain, Britain, Turkey and U.S.A. in the last few years -- using skin and muscle tissue from deceased donors.

Now, at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, hands and forearms have been successfully transplanted (from a deceased donor) to someone whose limbs were amputated a decade ago! (See “Helping hands – that come from a donor” G&M Feb 3/12  L2)

Finally, among the burst of medical breakthroughs published this February, researchers are working on a computer that, when linked to brain electrodes, can reproduce sounds and words -- based on a person’s thoughts.  (See “Science offers hope for the voiceless.” G&M Feb 3/12  L6)

In brief, then, scientific and medical progress is moving forward at an ever faster, almost exponential pace in a variety of areas.  What was unthinkable 10 years ago is now close at hand, or already reality.

So, Mary Shelley and Dr. Frankenstein, “It’s alive!” – is almost here.

Friday, August 3, 2012


DO THE MATH

Suicides, the U.S. military and Time magazine

Death is always traumatic for those left behind, and especially so if it was at one’s own hand.  The recent Cover story by Time magazine, July 23, 2012, addresses the fact U.S. military suicide rates  have been on the rise and, to quote the cover text, “Every day, one U.S. soldier commits suicide.” 

The core mathematics and statistics, presented on pages 26-27 of the article, however, are skewed and the story's conclusions/implications logically flawed in the extreme.

The statement that one soldier dies every day in 2012, i.e. 365 or so this year, is based on a projection as illustrated by the graph on page 26.  

The actual collected data ends either with 2011 or as of June 10, 2012 (stated below the chart with an *) and the articles author or team at Time extrapolate for all of 2012 or for the next 6 months (if June 10 is used).  That’s ½ a year ‘guessing’ at minimum!!

Worse, the graph line breakdowns by army, air force, navy and marine show major spikes UP and major DOWNTURNS over the years (though rarely for the army portion) yet  Time’s dotted projection line assumes all 4 sections of the U.S. military will all only go UPWARD for the rest of the year -- and at very sharp rates compared to previous upward spikes for air force, navy and marines.

The Dot charts are also informative for what they show and what is left out.

Only 17% of suicides were in combat zones: Afghanistan, Iraq or elsewhere, with 83% done on U.S. home soil;  55% had been in combat zones recently or in the past and seen people or comrades killed in war -- which means a whopping 45% had never seen or been near combat or danger. Finally, of the 41% that received health issue support, over half (26%) was for drug and alcohol abuse, 1 in 6 for depression (7%), and only 1 in 8 for PTSD (war trauma) (5%) and 1 in 14 for brain injury (3%).

41% had already been identified as having some mental health issue and received some treatment, and 30% had had a major breakdown in an “intimate relationship the prior month.”


CONCLUSIONS

a.      The projected 2012 suicide rate of one-per-day is highly speculative in mid-year, and assumes a universal and sharp upward trend that is inconsistent with the up and down patterns of the past.



b.      Drug and alcohol problems are not unique to the armed forces nor are individuals with a pre-existing history of individual depression and family suicide – as mentioned in one of the two soldier deaths chronicled in the issue. Major romantic breakdowns are also hard for the army or any employer to control.



c.      What the actual data– the percentages split over pages 26-27 -- shows is that suicides in the U.S. forces is not a general issue but a selective one, affecting almost exclusively white males who are not officers (80% to 95%),  with almost half of these (47%) young men under age 25.