GAIA and YOUR MONEY
How nature will reshape Globalization by 2020
By 2020 the world will
become a different place as Globalization is replaced by ‘localization’ as the
economic manta.
End of
Globalization
The Global economy and
market for high end (and highly profitable) manufactured goods from the US and Europe (mainly Germany) will radically shift as ‘developing
‘countries such as China and India continue to become technological and
manufacturing leaders. China and India
are reaching the top of the ‘valued added’ scale as China’s successful Lenovo
computers (which used to be IBM owned), China’s space program and Tata of
India’s takeover of British Jaguar and Land Rover highlight.
Once the Asian markets
are no longer export ‘growth areas’ and become ‘competitors’ at all levels of
manufacturing and technology , European and North American companies will have
to look to their own populations more and more as their almost exclusive
customers: for profits and survival.
Only raw material
suppliers – of wood, minerals and surplus oil and gas -- will be needed by China,
India, and the rest of the Far East. So Canada
will continue to do well.
End of high
oil and gas prices
And as the US becomes
self-sufficient in oil and natural gas thanks to fracking technology, and
becomes a net exporter of energy by 2020 (according to published
projections), the world’s energy balance will shift beyond recognition.
Middle Eastern oil -- without high demand from the US and other areas
exploring fracking - will drop in price
and the Brent crude standard will fall to levels not seen since the first Arab
oil embargo of the 1970s (in inflation
adjusted dollars). Oil and gas energy will make ‘wind’ and ‘solar’ and ‘battery
power’ so uneconomical in comparison that diehard eco-fanatics will lose sway. (Europe,
which has massive fracking potential, will foolishly delay this GAIA gift
under environmentalist, wind and solar power eco-mania for an extra
decade.)
In Canada, fracking
has begun in British Columbia, and throughout the East Coast provinces.
Ontario’s’ gas potential is known and awaiting government approval, and the
energy reserves hidden in Quebec’s Gaspe area will some day restore prosperous
once again, when eco-mania loses its
sway in Quebec City.
As for Alberta’s tar
sands, their heydays are numbered. Soon it
will lose its closest and primary market —the US – and need to look to East
Asian customers and oil tanker ships -- which increase transportation costs
while reducing daily volume. (That is why I see the Keystone
XL pipeline expansion project as a pointless waste of money as it will be
‘obsolete’ within 5 years -- unless, of course, we plan to import cheaper
US oil into Alberta!!!)
Jobs
Another plus to
locally based energy will be the restoration of ‘local’ jobs – through energy sector
engineering, construction and skilled labour; as well as in the stores and
goods and housing needed to support these booming industries.
SUMMATION
Western countries will have no option but to
refocus to their ‘inner’ consumers and markets, and eventually revitalize
‘local’ employment’ as the East rises to full industrial and technological
equality and leadership.
The gifts of Gaia – in
the form of oil and gas fracking – will save the West from its ongoing Recessions/Depression
and allow a new era of low cost energy self-sufficiency -- as shale oil and gas are found almost
everywhere on the planet.
So say goodbye to outsourcing and hello to
‘insourcing’.
And thank you Gaia!
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